Daily Finance Pulse India - 29 December 2025
Indian markets closed on Sunday 28 Dec 2025; Nifty last closed at 26,042 down 0.4%, Sensex range-bound ahead of IIP data amid record FPI outflows of ₹1.6 lakh crore in 2025; overall sentiment neutral with caution.
1/10
**Nifty Down 0.4%**: Profit Booking, Muted Cues
Nifty ended last week at 26,042, down nearly 100 points or 0.4%, amid selling in blue-chips; markets cautious into year-end. Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Expect range-bound 25,700-26,300 next week; watch IIP data Monday.
2/10
**FPI Outflow Record**: ₹1.6 Lakh Cr Exit, Rupee Pressure
FPIs withdrew record ₹1.58 lakh crore from equities in 2025 till 26 Dec, worst year ever, due to US yields, dollar strength; rupee down 4.9% to breach ₹90. Upstox/Business Standard, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Flows may revive in 2026 on earnings, reforms; debt inflows offset some equity sell.
3/10
**Rupee Breaches 90**: 4.9% YTD Drop, Capital Flight
Indian rupee slipped past ₹90/$ in Dec 2025, down 4.9% for year from ₹85.6, underperforming peers on volatile flows. Business Standard, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Heightens import costs, inflation risks; monitor RBI actions.
4/10
**Sensex Range-Bound**: 29 Dec-2 Jan Outlook, IIP Focus
Benchmarks likely consolidate amid FII selling ₹1,721 cr Wed, low VIX; metals up 0.6% on commodities. Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Key support 25,700 Nifty; breakout above 26,300 targets 26,500.
5/10
**Bank Nifty Fatigue**: Consolidates 58,500-60,100
Bank Nifty forms bearish pattern after rally; base-building expected, support 58,300. Bajaj Broking via Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Upside above 59,500 to 60,100; broader structure positive.
6/10
**Silver Surges 9%**: Record $78.65, Metals Rally
Silver hits record high up 158% YTD, outperforms gold; supports Indian metal stocks up 0.6%. Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Boost to metal sector amid global commodity strength.
7/10
**India VIX Historic Lows**: Indecision Phase
India VIX at record lows signals market waiting for trigger; calm precedes big moves. Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Low volatility favors stock-specific action over indices.
8/10
**Core Infra Slows**: Growth at 1.8% Nov, FTA Signed
Eight core sectors growth drops to 1.8%; India-New Zealand FTA boosts exports. Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Mixed macro cues; FTA aids diversification amid slowdown.
9/10
**2025 Sector Split**: Banks, Metals Up; Durables Down 11%
Nifty ~10% up but smallcaps lag; PSU banks, defense strong; consumer durables -11% despite GST cut. YouTube/Neeraj Bajpai, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Polarized performance; focus on infra, manufacturing themes.
10/10
**Q3 Earnings Jan**: Margin Surprises Eyed
Upcoming Q3 results may justify valuations via guidance, not set trends. Goodreturns.in, 28 Dec 2025.
Impact: Positive surprises could counter FPI caution.